Wednesday, 13 February 2008

Can Hillary still win the nomination?


Barack Obama had another good night last night, particularly in Virginia, where Hillary should have done better. But he is no shoo-in for the Democratic nomination. If Hillary wins in Texas and Ohio on March 3rd, and goes on to win Pennsylvania, she is the most likely winner of the nomination. And she has consistently won the big states so far. Her campaign has an injection of energy (that's what 'another aide quits' really means) that was wrongly delayed after New Hampshire, but will need to put up a big fight to counter the bias against her and for Obama in the media. Only after March 4th will we know whether or not Obama is likely to be the Democratic candidate and even though he will probably win Hawaii (though that may be closer than people think because of the strong Democratic machine in the state) and Wisconsin, that is the date that really matters.

1 comment:

Robert said...

I read this analysis on the Texas Primary. Even if Hillary wins by a 5 point margin there, the delegates will go in Obama's favour...